An Escalating Crisis Between Iran and the West

The price of oil has reached more than eighty dollarsintelligence sources, reported that the Administration
a barrel for the first time during the last week. Therehas concluded that sanctions against Iran in the
is a buildup of British and American forces near theUnited Nations are dead. It states that the Bush
Iranian border. The Pentagon has announced theAdministration plans to prepare America for war with
building of a US base in Iraq near the border withIran over the next several months. The Telegraph
Iran. The navel buildup near Iran continues. Thereports : " In a chilling scenario of how war might
French Government has escalated its public rhetoriccome, a senior intelligence officer warned that public
about a war with Iran. All signs continue to point todenunciation of Iranian meddling in Iraq - arming and
an escalating world crisis between the West and Iran.training militants - would lead to cross border raids on
Iranian activity concerning Iraq was stronglyIranian training camps and bomb factories. A prime
condemned last week by General Petraeus andtarget would be the Fajr base run by the Iranian
Ambassador to Iraq, Ryan Crocker, in front ofRevolutionary Guard Quds Force in southern Iran,
Congress. General Petraeus spoke of a "proxy war"where Western intelligence agencies say
that Iran was fighting in Iraq, while AmbassadorArmour-piercing projectiles used against British and US
Crocker accused the Iranian government oftroops are manufactured. Under the theory - which is
"providing lethal capabilities to the enemies of thegaining credence in Washington security circles - US
Iraqi state"."It is increasingly apparent," said Petraeus,action would provoke a major Iranian response,
"that Iran, through the use of the Quds Force, seeksperhaps in the form of moves to cut off Gulf oil
to turn the Iraqi Special Groups into a Hezbollah-likesupplies, providing a trigger for air strikes against
force to serve its interests and fight a proxy warIran's nuclear facilities and even its armed forces."
against the Iraqi state and coalition forces in Iraq." InOver the last several months, public pressure is
an interview after his appearance before agrowing in the United States for meaningful troop
congressional panel, General Petraeus strongly impliedwithdrawals from Iraq. The American public is also
that it would soon be necessary to obtaingrowing increasingly restless about the lack of
authorization to take action against Iran within itsprogress by the government of Nouri al- Maliki. In a
own borders, rather than just inside Iraq. "There is aSeptember, 2007 Gallup public opinion poll, a record
pretty hard look ongoing at that particular situation.",60% say the United States should set a timetable to
he said.withdraw forces and stick to that timetable
The only hope to avoid war between Iran and theregardless of what is going on in the country.
West over Iran's ongoing nuclear developmentThe remaining time for this Administration to govern
program appears to be the United Nations. Theis beginning to grow short. The start of the 2008
Iranian crisis is on the upcoming United NationsPresidential elections herald the conclusion of George
agenda and possible new sanctions against Iran will beBush's term in office. The prospect of a historic
discussed on September 21.strategic military mistake by invading Iraq. A
However, the option of new sanctions against Iranhumanitarian crisis in the country when our troops
appears to be diminishing when one considers thiswithdraw. A Middle East dominated by an Iran with
recent report from Fox news : "Germany - a pivotalnuclear weapons. The price of a barrel of oil
player among three European nations to rein in Iran'sthroughout the world being held hostage by a radical
nuclear program over the last two-and-a-half yearsregime in Tehran. These outcomes are not what
through a mixture of diplomacy and sanctionsGeorge Bush had in mind for the legacy of his
supported by the United States - notified its allies lastPresidency. He is going to have to take military action
week that the government of Chancellor Angelaagainst Iran before he leaves office. It looks like the
Merkel refuses to support the imposition of anybombing of Iran's nuclear facilities may be only
further sanctions against Iran that could be imposedseveral months away. This could become a very
by the U.N. Security Council. The announcement wasimportant world event in early 2008.
made at a meeting in Berlin that brought GermanDuring the next several months, the Bush
officials together with Iran desk officers from theAdministration will likely change the conversation in
five member states of the Security Council. ItAmerica from the inept Iraqi government of Nouri al-
stunned the room and left most Bush administrationMaliki to the dangers posed to Iraq and America by
principals concluding that sanctions are dead." Chinathe government of Iran. An escalating crisis between
and Russia are already opposed to any meaningfulIran and the West will likely make this winter a long
sanctions concerning Iraq.season of conflict.
The British newspaper, The Telegraph, citing